Morning Market Review

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01/11/2019

US dollar is showing weak negative dynamics against the majors during the Asian session. After active growth the day before, the observed decline in the dollar is correctional. In general, the pressure on the dollar continues to be exerted by the mitigated rhetoric of some representatives of the US Fed, including Jerome Powell, who said that the regulator could postpone the next increase in the interest rate in 2019. Today the statistics on the Consumer Price Index in the US (15:30 GMT+2) will be able to influence the rate. The indicator in monthly terms is expected to decrease to –0.1% in December from 0.0% a month earlier, and in annual terms it can decrease to 1.9% in December from 2.2% in the previous month. If this forecast is right, it will put pressure on the US dollar in the short run.

EUR/USD

The pair EUR/USD rose to 1.1526 due to the weakening USD. In the absence of news from the euro area, the movement of the instrument will be influenced by the news from the United States.

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD pair is growing insignificantly and is trading at 1.2756 during the Asian session. Investors are waiting for the publication of macroeconomic data from the UK on GDP, industrial production and manufacturing production (11:30 GMT+2). GDP is expected to remain unchanged at the level of 0.1% in November. Industrial production is expected to rise to 0.3% in November from –0.6% a month earlier. Manufacturing production is expected to rise to 0.4% MoM in November from –0.9% a month earlier, and YoY it can rise to –0.7% in November from –1.0% a month earlier. In general, confirmation of forecasts may support the GBP.

USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair is moderately declining having fallen to 108.26 during the Asian session. Statistics from Japan published tonight turned out to be ambiguous and was ignored by the market. Household Spending YoY decreased to –0.6% in November from –0.3% a month earlier, and in monthly terms, the value of the indicator decreased less than expected and amounted to 1.1% in November against 1.8% a month earlier.

AUD/USD

Quotes of the pair AUD/USD show moderate positive dynamics reaching the level of 0.7210. The instrument is supported by positive data from Australia, published at night. Retail sales rose to 0.4% in November from 0.3% a month earlier.

Gold

The gold rate is growing against the backdrop of a weakening dollar, reaching 1293.00.

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